🐉 Market Simulation 🐉
Three sellers. Three risk profiles.
Buy eggs, wait for outcomes.
Feel what risk and patience really mean.
Buy · Hold · Reveal · Reinvest
Game Time
Jan Y1
Cash
€1,000
Portfolio
€1,000
At Risk
—
Sellers — €100 per egg
🌳
Treebeard
Conservative12mo
"Do not be hasty."
like S&P 500
❌ 1%−100%
🦎 15%−20%
🐣 55%+8%
🐉 29%+28%
⚔️
Aragorn
Balanced6mo
"There is always hope."
like growth stocks
❌ 15%−100%
🦎 18%−35%
🐣 39%+18%
🐉 28%+80%
💍
Gollum
High Risk2mo
"My precious!"
like crypto
❌ 30%−100%
🦎 35%−45%
🐣 25%+25%
🐉 10%+120%
What This Teaches
🌐
Diversification Reduces Risk
Spread eggs across all three sellers. When Gollum loses 65% of the time, Treebeard's steady chicks protect your portfolio. This mirrors holding stocks, bonds, and commodities — one bad bet doesn't sink everything.
⏳
Patience Is a Real Advantage
Treebeard takes 12 months and has a 16% total downside risk (1% wipe + 15% lizard). Gollum is fast and exciting with a 65% loss rate — 30% full wipe, 35% partial. Most people pick Gollum — and accept the downside without realising it. Time in market beats timing the market.
🦎
Partial Losses Are the Norm
Most real losses aren't total wipeouts — they're lizards: you get back €65 on a €100 egg. Markets correct 10–30% regularly. The question isn't whether you'll face a lizard, but whether your diversification means it doesn't ruin you.
🔄
Compounding Through Reinvestment
Every dragon funds more eggs. Returns on returns accelerate growth non-linearly. This is why long-term investors reinvest dividends — the difference over 20 years is massive compared to spending every gain.
Market Simulation is for educational purposes only. Real markets are more complex and unpredictable. Not financial advice.